六合彩Data Mining

superkufu

之前做完Data mining ......
有無人有玩過Data Mining, 覺得應用係搵六合彩有可能?
XD....

alphaau

search for john nash,
game theory

but you need more data then just the six/sever number!

superkufu

諗左ga la....
之前個final year 係做stock market 既 data mining...
想試d pattern haha
雖然無深究佢個game theory...
但係近似於probability , 甘樣可能問題.. 每一個number 既 occurence 會同其他number無關(雖然可能真係可能無關 ), 但可能有相關性..
game theory 同 naive bayes 相似(?)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naive_bayes
但係用SVM 可以solve 到個相關性 XD....
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Support_vector_machine

[ 本帖最後由 superkufu 於 2008-12-22 09:56 編輯 ]

alphaau

詳情搵唔番亦諗唔起,
不過我聽過話如果要apply game theory 落marksix
佢轉波要重新計stat
佢轉放位要重新計stat
佢轉機要重新計stat

同埋, 你個stat 要包埋d 波出0黎的seq.

thinkpanda

原帖由 alphaau 於 2008-12-22 09:31 發表
search for john nash,
game theory

but you need more data then just the six/sever number!

How is game theory be applied to Mark Six?

阿水

how can you mine from purely random thing

solhen

GAME THEORY (博奕理論)... 係用唔到係mark six

梁炳

原帖由 阿水 於 2008-12-22 12:54 發表
how can you mine from purely random thing

will some balls(numbers) appear more times than the others
because of some extremely small difference? (weight,shape,elasticity...)

so that if we bet on those balls, we will get higher chance of winning?

Tony仔

原帖由 梁炳 於 2008-12-22 13:57 發表

will some balls(numbers) appear more times than the others
because of some extremely small difference? (weight,shape,elasticity...)

so that if we bet on those balls, we will get higher chance of win ...

the contribution of randomness by the factors you mentioned is far insignificant to the ball positions and velocity

[ 本帖最後由 Tony仔 於 2008-12-22 14:01 編輯 ]

thinkpanda

原帖由 梁炳 於 2008-12-22 13:57 發表

will some balls(numbers) appear more times than the others
because of some extremely small difference? (weight,shape,elasticity...)

so that if we bet on those balls, we will get higher chance of win ...

你咁講唔係話完全不可能, 事實上破解MD5, DES 呢類cryptographic algorithm, 都係依靠佢地得出既計算結果唔夠evenly distributed 作突破點.
但係以六合彩既情況黎講, 一年開一百次, 一百年先開到一萬次, sample size 以呢個用途黎講係太細. 未必可以mine 到一個統計上有效既結論...